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Constellation I (Davis Richard Charles)

#82 of 117
50/100Mixed recordlow confidence

50/100 from 1 resolved vehicle (1 closed, 0 failed), 17% of the raw 53 after small-sample shrink, completion credit gated ×0.83 by the measured post-close record. Confidence: low.

Vehicles
3
2 in the live DB · 1 SEC-verified priors · computed by SpacBrain from cited rows, as of 2026-09-11
Resolved
1
1 closed · 0 liquidated · 0 terminated
Best priced exit
-99.3%
SDST vs the $10.00 baseline
Worst priced exit
-99.3%
SDST vs the $10.00 baseline

Sponsor DNA

what has happened before, with its sample size
  • Completion raten=1 resolved vehiclederived

    1 resolved vehicle on record; this rate is published from 3. Below three the percentage can only be 0, 50 or 100 and says less than the counts beside it.

  • Liquidation raten=1 resolved vehiclederived

    1 resolved vehicle on record; this rate is published from 3. Below three the percentage can only be 0, 50 or 100 and says less than the counts beside it.

  • Median post-close returnn=1 priced completed deSPACderived

    1 priced completed deSPAC on record; this median is published from 3. Two points have no middle — a median over them is their mean, and moves with either one.

  • Median redemption66%n=4 redemption events with a stated ratederived

    When holders of this sponsor's vehicles have been offered the exit, the median event saw 66% of public shares redeemed, across 4 events that state a rate.

  • Deals terminated0terminated dealscounted

    No announced combination on this sponsor’s record has been terminated.

  • Extension votes on record4extension votescounted

    4 extension votes — occasions this sponsor needed more time and asked holders for it.

3 of 6 statistics carry a figure for this sponsor. A rate is published from 3 resolved vehicles and a median from 3 observations: two points have no middle, and a rate over two can only be 0, 50 or 100. Counts have no threshold — a count is an observation, not an estimate.

Everything marked derived is arithmetic we did to rows we hold, not a figure any filing states.

What this panel will not tell you, and why (6)
  • Median day-one move on announcement

    PriceBar holds 2026-05-11 → 2026-08-17 only. Of 83 dated announcements across the whole universe, 16 fall on a day we hold a bar for a scored sponsor’s vehicle, spread over 14 sponsors — one sponsor reaches three observations. A bar that does not exist is not a 0% move.

  • Pre-vote move

    Only 12 deals carry a vote date at all, and exactly 1 of them falls inside the PriceBar window. One observation is an anecdote with a decimal point.

  • Median time from IPO to announcement

    42 IPO→announcement pairs exist, but only six sponsors have two and one has three. Enough for a statistic about the asset class; not for one about a sponsor, which is what this panel claims to be.

  • Median time from signing to close

    Exactly 1 deal in the entire database is CLOSED and carries an announcement date. There is no 2nd observation anywhere to take a median over.

  • 12-month post-deSPAC return

    `SponsorPriorVehicle.postCloseReturnPct` is measured at the LAST close we hold, whenever that is — not on a 12-month anniversary. We hold no price history for the resulting companies, so the anniversary price does not exist. The median post-close return above is the honest version of this number and says what it is measured against.

  • Sponsor capital at risk

    Nothing stores it. The only sponsor-economics column we hold is `Deal.promotePct` (founder shares as a percentage of post-IPO shares, on 34 deals under a scored sponsor), and that measures the equity the sponsor got nearly free — the opposite of the dollars it put in. Deriving at-risk capital from a promote percentage would be an invention with a citation stapled to it.

Score breakdown

every component, what it measured, and what it could not
  • Deal completion20% weightn=183/100

    1/1 resolved vehicles closed a deal (100%); 0 liquidated, 0 terminated. Gated ×0.83 by measured post-close quality (33/100): closing deals that ended below trust value is not a completed job, so only 83% of the completion credit is earned. Full credit resumes at outcome quality 50/100 (the median deSPAC ending at trust value); the gate can never exceed 1×. Small sample — the shrink below keeps this near neutral.

  • Liquidation / termination drag16% weightn=3100/100

    0 liquidations and 0 terminations across 3 vehicles raised → 0% attrition (terminations 1.25×, stale shells 0.75×).

  • Post-close outcome quality40% weightn=133/100

    1 priced deSPAC vs trust value (prior vehicles against the $10.00 IPO baseline, in-DB vehicles against the trust they filed): median -99%, 0/1 still worth at least half of trust, 1 at under a tenth of it. Worst: SDST -99%. n=1, pulled toward neutral.

  • Redemption behaviour10% weightn=439/100

    Median 66% of public shares redeemed across 4 filed events (lower is better).

  • Extension reliance8% weightn=433/100

    4 extension votes across 2 in-DB vehicles (2.0 per vehicle; 3+ scores zero).

  • Live fleet vs trust6% weightn=20/100

    0/2 live vehicles trading at or above the trust value they filed.

  • Measured weak recordflat penaltyn=1not measurable

    Only 1 measured prior vehicle (median -99%) — one vehicle is an anecdote, not a record; the rule needs ≥2.

How the number is built: weighted mean of the six components above = 53, then pulled 83% of the way back to the neutral 50 for small sample size (1 resolved vehicle) = 50.

How the Sponsor Score worksoutcome-first weighting

The score answers one question: did this sponsor make money for the people who held through the merger? Not “did they get a deal signed”. Those are different questions, and most sponsor rankings quietly answer the second one.

So post-close outcome quality carries 40% — the realised return of every prior vehicle we can price from a primary filing, measured against the $10.00 trust baseline. Deal completion carries 20%, and it is gated: closing deals that ended below trust value only earns part of the completion credit, because closing is a precondition for a return, not a return. Liquidation and termination drag takes 16%, redemption behaviour 10%, extension reliance 8%, and what the tape says about the live fleet just 6% — a quote is an opinion, not evidence.

A component with no data is never guessed. It is held at the neutral 50 across its full weight and labelled “not measurable”. Dropping it and re-weighting the rest would quietly reward a sponsor for having no verifiable record — exactly backwards. The consequence: a sponsor with no post-close evidence at all cannot read above 71, and cannot be labelled a strong operator no matter how many deals it closed.

Experience never inflates the score. There is no “years in business” component. A first-time sponsor sits at exactly 50 and reads “unproven” with low confidence — new is not bad. Sample size only pulls a score toward or away from that neutral 50, so nobody is called great or terrible on one vehicle.

Every input is a row already in the database, sourced from SEC primary filings: prior vehicles verified on EDGAR, redemption results read out of 8-Ks, prices from public feeds. The arithmetic is deterministic — no model, no LLM, no judgement call. Research tooling, not investment advice.

Prior vehicles

1 SEC-verified — what happened to holders who stayed in
VehicleOutcomeBecamevs $10.00TodaySource
Global Partner Acquisition Corp IIIPO 2020CompletedStardust Power Inc.SDST-99.3%Trading$0.67 · Aug 14, 20260001493152-24-027127 opens on sec.gov in a new tab

1 of 1 prior vehicle carry an honest post-close price, split-adjusted against the $10.00 trust baseline a holder gave up at the merger. Cash buyouts are read from the per-share consideration stated in the DEFM14A / SC 14D-9; a buyout no filing prices stays unpriced and stays out of the score. “Listing ended” means the quote stopped with no buyer — scored as a total loss because that is what the evidence says, but never printed as a percentage we cannot source.

Data provenance & audit trail1 internal entry

Written by SpacBrain’s data agents whenever a figure is captured, corrected or flagged, and kept verbatim so every number on this page can be traced back to the filing that states it. This is a running log, not the current record: an early entry may be superseded by a later correction — the panels above always hold the current values.

Constellation I (Davis Richard Charles) — sponsor record
SPONSOR-COV2026-08-14

Grouped from primary Section-16 data. In-DB vehicles: CSTAF, XTER — linked because they share a Section-16 officer (or the same sponsor-LLC CIK), not because their names rhyme. Prior blank-check vehicles, each outcome re-derived from that vehicle's own EDGAR submissions: • Global Partner Acquisition Corp II — DESPAC_COMPLETED → Stardust Power Inc. (SDST); attributed through Patel Chandra R, a PRINCIPAL (CEO/chair/president) of CSTAF; 8-K 2024-07-12 carries Item 2.01 and EDGAR renamed the CIK off "Global Partner Acquisition Corp II" to "Stardust Power Inc." Candidates whose EDGAR history was ambiguous were left out rather than guessed.

The Sponsor Score is a deterministic research heuristic over primary-sourced rows — never a recommendation, and never a prediction. It cannot tell you whether this sponsor’s next deal will work; it tells you, precisely and with its own uncertainty attached, what the last ones did.