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Launch One Acquisition Corp. (van de Vyver Jurgen Johannes)

#94 of 117
50/100Unprovenlow confidence

Unproven — 3 vehicles, none resolved yet. Held at the neutral 50; no record is not a bad record.

Vehicles
3
0 in the live DB · 3 SEC-verified priors · computed by SpacBrain from cited rows, as of 2026-09-10
Resolved
0
0 closed · 0 liquidated · 0 terminated
Best priced exit
no prior vehicle carries an honest post-close price
Worst priced exit
nothing priced — and nothing invented

Sponsor DNA

what has happened before, with its sample size
  • Completion raten=0 resolved vehiclesderived

    No resolved vehicle on record — absent, which is not the same as zero.

  • Liquidation raten=0 resolved vehiclesderived

    No resolved vehicle on record — absent, which is not the same as zero.

  • Median post-close returnn=0 priced completed deSPACsderived

    No priced completed deSPAC on record — absent, which is not the same as zero.

  • Median redemptionn=0 redemption events with a stated ratederived

    No redemption event with a stated rate on record — absent, which is not the same as zero. Extraction covers part of the universe, so a low count is our coverage as much as the sponsor’s history.

  • Deals terminated0terminated dealscounted

    No announced combination on this sponsor’s record has been terminated.

  • Extension votes on record0extension votescounted

    No extension vote extracted for this sponsor. Extraction is partial across the universe, so this is an absence of rows, NOT evidence of zero extensions.

2 of 6 statistics carry a figure for this sponsor. A rate is published from 3 resolved vehicles and a median from 3 observations: two points have no middle, and a rate over two can only be 0, 50 or 100. Counts have no threshold — a count is an observation, not an estimate.

Everything marked derived is arithmetic we did to rows we hold, not a figure any filing states.

What this panel will not tell you, and why (6)
  • Median day-one move on announcement

    PriceBar holds 2026-05-11 → 2026-08-17 only. Of 83 dated announcements across the whole universe, 16 fall on a day we hold a bar for a scored sponsor’s vehicle, spread over 14 sponsors — one sponsor reaches three observations. A bar that does not exist is not a 0% move.

  • Pre-vote move

    Only 12 deals carry a vote date at all, and exactly 1 of them falls inside the PriceBar window. One observation is an anecdote with a decimal point.

  • Median time from IPO to announcement

    42 IPO→announcement pairs exist, but only six sponsors have two and one has three. Enough for a statistic about the asset class; not for one about a sponsor, which is what this panel claims to be.

  • Median time from signing to close

    Exactly 1 deal in the entire database is CLOSED and carries an announcement date. There is no 2nd observation anywhere to take a median over.

  • 12-month post-deSPAC return

    `SponsorPriorVehicle.postCloseReturnPct` is measured at the LAST close we hold, whenever that is — not on a 12-month anniversary. We hold no price history for the resulting companies, so the anniversary price does not exist. The median post-close return above is the honest version of this number and says what it is measured against.

  • Sponsor capital at risk

    Nothing stores it. The only sponsor-economics column we hold is `Deal.promotePct` (founder shares as a percentage of post-IPO shares, on 34 deals under a scored sponsor), and that measures the equity the sponsor got nearly free — the opposite of the dollars it put in. Deriving at-risk capital from a promote percentage would be an invention with a citation stapled to it.

Score breakdown

every component, what it measured, and what it could not
  • Deal completion20% weightnot measurable

    No vehicle has reached a final outcome yet — nothing to measure, held neutral.

    Held at the neutral 50 across its full 20% weight — missing data is never scored as a failure, but it never earns credit either.

  • Liquidation / termination drag16% weightn=3100/100

    0 liquidations and 0 terminations across 3 vehicles raised → 0% attrition (terminations 1.25×, stale shells 0.75×).

  • Post-close outcome quality40% weightnot measurable

    No completed deSPAC yet — nothing to measure, held neutral.

    Held at the neutral 50 across its full 40% weight — missing data is never scored as a failure, but it never earns credit either.

  • Redemption behaviour10% weightnot measurable

    No redemption events extracted for this sponsor yet (coverage is partial) — held neutral; absence of rows is NOT evidence of zero redemptions.

    Held at the neutral 50 across its full 10% weight — missing data is never scored as a failure, but it never earns credit either.

  • Extension reliance8% weightnot measurable

    No extension filings extracted for this sponsor — held neutral (partial coverage, not a clean record).

    Held at the neutral 50 across its full 8% weight — missing data is never scored as a failure, but it never earns credit either.

  • Live fleet vs trust6% weightnot measurable

    No priced live vehicle — held neutral.

    Held at the neutral 50 across its full 6% weight — missing data is never scored as a failure, but it never earns credit either.

  • Measured weak recordflat penaltynot measurable

    No measured prior-vehicle outcome — the weak-record rule cannot engage (absence of data is never a penalty).

How the number is built: weighted mean of the six components above = 58, then pulled 100% of the way back to the neutral 50 for small sample size (0 resolved vehicles) = 50.

5 components are not measurable for this sponsor (deal completion, post-close outcome quality, redemption behaviour, extension reliance, live fleet vs trust) — 84% of the weight is a neutral placeholder rather than evidence. That is why the confidence chip reads low.

How the Sponsor Score worksoutcome-first weighting

The score answers one question: did this sponsor make money for the people who held through the merger? Not “did they get a deal signed”. Those are different questions, and most sponsor rankings quietly answer the second one.

So post-close outcome quality carries 40% — the realised return of every prior vehicle we can price from a primary filing, measured against the $10.00 trust baseline. Deal completion carries 20%, and it is gated: closing deals that ended below trust value only earns part of the completion credit, because closing is a precondition for a return, not a return. Liquidation and termination drag takes 16%, redemption behaviour 10%, extension reliance 8%, and what the tape says about the live fleet just 6% — a quote is an opinion, not evidence.

A component with no data is never guessed. It is held at the neutral 50 across its full weight and labelled “not measurable”. Dropping it and re-weighting the rest would quietly reward a sponsor for having no verifiable record — exactly backwards. The consequence: a sponsor with no post-close evidence at all cannot read above 71, and cannot be labelled a strong operator no matter how many deals it closed.

Experience never inflates the score. There is no “years in business” component. A first-time sponsor sits at exactly 50 and reads “unproven” with low confidence — new is not bad. Sample size only pulls a score toward or away from that neutral 50, so nobody is called great or terrible on one vehicle.

Every input is a row already in the database, sourced from SEC primary filings: prior vehicles verified on EDGAR, redemption results read out of 8-Ks, prices from public feeds. The arithmetic is deterministic — no model, no LLM, no judgement call. Research tooling, not investment advice.

Prior vehicles

3 SEC-verified — what happened to holders who stayed in
VehicleOutcomeBecamevs $10.00TodaySource
Launch Two Acquisition Corp.IPO 2024Searching0001213900-26-055950 opens on sec.gov in a new tab
Launchpad Cadenza Acquisition Corp IIPO 2025Searching0001213900-26-088624 opens on sec.gov in a new tab
WEN Acquisition CorpIPO 2025Searching0001213900-26-089197 opens on sec.gov in a new tab

0 of 3 prior vehicles carry an honest post-close price, split-adjusted against the $10.00 trust baseline a holder gave up at the merger. Cash buyouts are read from the per-share consideration stated in the DEFM14A / SC 14D-9; a buyout no filing prices stays unpriced and stays out of the score. “Listing ended” means the quote stopped with no buyer — scored as a total loss because that is what the evidence says, but never printed as a percentage we cannot source.

Data provenance & audit trail1 internal entry

Written by SpacBrain’s data agents whenever a figure is captured, corrected or flagged, and kept verbatim so every number on this page can be traced back to the filing that states it. This is a running log, not the current record: an early entry may be superseded by a later correction — the panels above always hold the current values.

Launch One Acquisition Corp. (van de Vyver Jurgen Johannes) — sponsor record
SPONSOR-COV2026-08-14

Grouped from primary Section-16 data. In-DB vehicles: LPAA. Prior blank-check vehicles, each outcome re-derived from that vehicle's own EDGAR submissions: • Launch Two Acquisition Corp. — SEARCHING; attributed through van de Vyver Jurgen Johannes, an officer — not a principal — of LPAA, so this is the team member's record rather than proof the sponsor firm ran the vehicle; still filing (last 2026-08-13); no Item 2.01/5.06, no deregistration Candidates whose EDGAR history was ambiguous were left out rather than guessed.

The Sponsor Score is a deterministic research heuristic over primary-sourced rows — never a recommendation, and never a prediction. It cannot tell you whether this sponsor’s next deal will work; it tells you, precisely and with its own uncertainty attached, what the last ones did.